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RBA rates have peaked but relief still a year away, say economists

The Australian Financial Review (AFR) •
November 04, 2026 • 09:00 AM
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A snap poll of expert forecasts showed that the cash rate has likely hit the top at 4.85 per cent, but Australia is not out of the woods yet.

RBA rates have peaked but relief still a year away, say economists

Economists have joined financial markets in betting that borrowing costs have finally peaked in Australia at the highest level in 18 years, with the central bank’s aggressive round of interest rate rises yet to fully work through the economy.

That was the broad view of 32 economists polled by The Australian Financial Revie w, just one day after the Reserve Bank of Australia lifted the cash rate for a fifth time this year to 4.85 per cent, while signalling a pause may be warranted to gauge how economic activity responds to tighter policy.

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