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One lonely economist tips a Cup-day rates boilover. Here’s why

The Australian Financial Review (AFR) •
November 02, 2026 • 02:11 AM
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That expert hopes that the Reserve Bank of Australia board “will come to its own conclusion rather than rely on the public “echo-chamber”.

One lonely economist tips a Cup-day rates boilover. Here’s why

Most of the financial world is convinced that the Reserve Bank of Australia will spoil Melbourne Cup Day with a punishing interest rate increase, sending borrowing costs to their highest level in nearly two decades.

It would be the fifth blow to household budgets this year alone, and almost every economist and trader is betting that it is coming – except one.

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Same Story from Other Publications

Compare how 6 other independent news outlets reported on this story.

6 Publications
ABC News Australia
2w ago
Economist delivers 'worst-case scenario' on interest rates as inflation fails to cool

Economist delivers 'worst-case scenario' on interest rates as inflation fails to cool

The Reserve Bank has so far been unable to pull inflation down to its target range of between 2 and 3 per cent. The only option left, it seems, is to take a sledgehammer to demand.

#rba #economist
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SBS News Australia
1w ago
RBA rate hike: How much more can Australian households take?

RBA rate hike: How much more can Australian households take?

The federal government says the ongoing global oil shock - triggered by the war in the Middle East - is one of the main key factor of inflation.

Domain Property News
1w ago
Property market recovery unlikely until late 2027 after fresh rate blow

Property market recovery unlikely until late 2027 after fresh rate blow

The RBA's latest hike has triggered warnings of a record 14 per cent plunge in home values.

CNBC World
1w ago
Australia hikes rates to 18-year high to fight inflation

Australia hikes rates to 18-year high to fight inflation

The Reserve Bank of Australia's decision was in line with expectations from economists polled by Reuters, and marked its fifth rate increase this year.

RealEstate.com.au News
1w ago
RBA lifts cash rate to 4.85% in fifth hike this year - realestate.com.au

RBA lifts cash rate to 4.85% in fifth hike this year - realestate.com.au

Inevitable tightening from the Reserve Bank has pushed Australia’s cash rate to a high not seen since the Global Financial Crisis.

The Age
1w ago
Australia news live: Reserve Bank expected to lift rates on Melbourne Cup day; PM warns of increasing danger to democracies

Australia news live: Reserve Bank expected to lift rates on Melbourne Cup day; PM warns of increasing danger to democracies

Follow our rolling coverage of all the latest news and developments from around Australia and the world.

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