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Sydney house prices to drop 16pc in ‘largest downturn on record’: CBA

The Australian Financial Review (AFR) •
November 03, 2026 • 03:21 AM
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Successive rates hikes combined with Labor’s property tax changes have triggered what the CBA expects to be the biggest housing correction on record.

Sydney house prices to drop 16pc in ‘largest downturn on record’: CBA

Sydney house prices could plunge 16 per cent peak-to-trough as Australia’s housing market experiences its largest downturn on record, according to Commonwealth Bank economists in the latest revision to their forecasts.

The CBA expects the correction will be even more severe in the previously booming markets of Perth and Brisbane, where it is forecasting peak-to-trough declines of about 18 per cent in both cities. Prices are tipped to drop 13 per cent in Melbourne and Adelaide.

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