Trending
Prev Story
Next Story

Prediction market punters go door to door hunting a midterm edge

The Australian Financial Review (AFR) •
November 02, 2026 • 09:00 AM
1
1 reads 0 reactions

Kalshi and Polymarket are developing a reputation as a place where Americans go to lose money. But they have also created an opening for a few sharps.

Prediction market punters go door to door hunting a midterm edge

New York | In the weeks leading up to the US midterms, a small group of prediction market traders took field trips to Maine and Los Angeles, then reconvened online to pore over polls and early voter data out of Brazil, Israel and Texas.

They were hunting for scraps of intelligence about the voting public that might help them make more profitable bets on platforms Kalshi and Polymarket, where they rank among the most successful traders wagering on the outcomes of electoral races that are playing out across the country and the world.

Gift articles to anyone you choose each month when you subscribe.

Prev Swipe Story Next

Same Story from Other Publications

Compare how 3 other independent news outlets reported on this story.

3 Publications
CNBC World
21h ago
Donald Trump Jr. exits advisory role at Kalshi prediction market

Donald Trump Jr. exits advisory role at Kalshi prediction market

The president's son will no longer serve as an advisor at Kalshi.

#kalshi #polymarket #prediction
Compare →
The Verge
22h ago
Donald Trump Jr. is no longer advising Kalshi.

Donald Trump Jr. is no longer advising Kalshi.

Trump Jr. has been an advisor to both Kalshi and its rival Polymarket during the prediction market-friendly administration of his father. Kalshi told Bloomberg that the company and Trump Jr. “mutually agreed” to part ways after his venture capital firm invested in Polymarket this summer. [Link: Donald Trump Jr. Out as Kalshi Adviser Following Midterms | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-11-12/donald-trump-jr-out-as-kalshi-adviser-following-midterms | Bloomberg]

#kalshi #polymarket
Compare →
The Guardian
18h ago
Donald Trump Jr exits as paid adviser for prediction market Kalshi

Donald Trump Jr exits as paid adviser for prediction market Kalshi

Kalshi announces ‘mutual decision’ as Democrats say they plan to investigate Trump family’s investments

#kalshi #prediction
Compare →

Related Stories

World News
Build #2611