New Zealand vs India match prediction: New Zealand are narrow favourites for the 5th ODI at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui, with a 52% win probability against India’s 48%. The hosts won the 4th ODI by 244 runs on this ground, with Matt Henry taking 6/27, and India finished on 89. This preview covers the toss, pitch, weather, head-to-head record, likely playing XI choices and the player picks behind our fantasy cricket tips.
New Zealand vs India | 5th ODI | India tour of New Zealand
BDT 8:00 AM / PKT 7:00 AM / INR 7:30 AM
NZ vs IND India tour of New Zealand 2026: Live Streaming & Broadcast Info
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New Zealand vs India Toss Prediction
New Zealand are predicted to win the toss and bat first. Their 333 here in the 4th ODI shows what a big first innings can do, and it leaves India chasing a target on a ground where they just lost by 244 runs. No dew or pitch report has been confirmed, so the call rests on the projected totals of 270+ and 260+.
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui Pitch Report
No curator’s report was available at the time of writing, so this pitch report works from recent results. New Zealand made 333 here in the 4th ODI, and India finished on 89 after 26.4 overs chasing 334. That points to a surface where batting first and posting a big total pays off, though our projected scores of 270+ and 260+ are lower, so expect a more measured contest.
No temperature or dew reading was available at the time of writing, so treat this weather report as provisional. The 4th ODI was a day-night game, and dew may matter if this one runs into the evening. Check the local forecast before the toss, since any change in conditions could affect both the toss decision and the projected totals.
New Zealand vs. India Team Preview & Squads
Mitchell Santner captains a New Zealand side whose recent form reads L L L NR W, so the 244-run win in the 4th ODI arrived at the right moment. He has momentum to protect and can afford to stay aggressive.
Will Young is the listed key batter, with Finn Allen, Nick Kelly, Mitchell Hay and Tim Seifert in the squad. Seifert is our pick to top-score and hit the most sixes, and the likely playing XI should help New Zealand reach 270+ after posting 333 last time out.
Matt Henry was Player of the Match with 6/27, and Kyle Jamieson is tipped to lead the wicket-takers here. Michael Bracewell, the key all-rounder, gives Santner balance, while Jacob Duffy, Matthew Fisher and Blair Tickner add pace depth.
Mitchell Santner, Finn Allen, Nick Kelly, Will Young, Mitchell Hay, Tim Seifert, Michael Bracewell, Josh Clarkson, Dean Foxcroft, Kristian Clarke, Jacob Duffy, Matthew Fisher, Matt Henry, Kyle Jamieson, Brett Randell, Blair Tickner
Shreyas Iyer leads an India side with recent form of L L W W NR L, and he now has to answer a 244-run defeat. India lead the head-to-head 65 to 53, which counts for little after a loss that size. His response, both as a batter and a captain, will set the tone.
Virat Kohli is the listed key batter, with Rohit Sharma, Ishan Kishan, Ruturaj Gaikwad, Tilak Varma and Naman Dhir in the squad. Iyer is predicted to top-score and hit the most sixes, and 260+ is realistic only if the top order survives the new ball.
Gurnoor Brar is the key bowler and Axar Patel is the all-rounder who gives Iyer balance. Auqib Nabi is tipped to lead the wicket-takers, with Arshdeep Singh, Mohammed Siraj, Kuldeep Yadav and Yash Thakur in support. Our skepticism is simple: India have to prove the 89 was a one-off.
Shreyas Iyer, Ishan Kishan, Arshdeep Singh, Auqib Nabi, Ruturaj Gaikwad, Gurnoor Brar, Virat Kohli, Kuldeep Yadav, Kumar Kushagra, Mohammed Siraj, Naman Dhir, Nitish Kumar Reddy, Axar Patel, Rohit Sharma, Tilak Varma, Yash Thakur
New Zealand vs. India Winning Prediction
Our New Zealand vs India match prediction goes with New Zealand at 52%, built on their 244-run win, Henry’s 6/27 and the 333 they posted at this ground, while India’s 48% depends on Iyer and Kohli rebuilding quickly. Can India bounce back from 89, or will the hosts finish the job? Follow JeetBuzz for more match updates, stats and analysis before every game.
FAQ: India tour of New Zealand 2026 5th ODI
What time does NZ vs IND start in India?
The match starts at 7:30 AM IST on November 15, 2026.
Where can I watch NZ vs IND live in New Zealand?
It is available on Sports Live Hub (SLH).
Who was Player of the Match in the 4th ODI?
New Zealand’s Matt Henry won it after taking 6/27.
