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Chalmers warns of slower growth as traders bet on rate rise next month

The Australian Financial Review (AFR) •
October 22, 2026 • 11:30 AM
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The treasurer’s warnings on Friday come as the Reserve Bank tells a parliamentary inquiry that cutting government spending will help ease inflation.

Chalmers warns of slower growth as traders bet on rate rise next month

Treasurer Jim Chalmers will warn of slower economic growth and higher unemployment as officials rework numbers ahead of the Albanese government’s mid-year update, and traders price in a two-in-three chance the Reserve Bank of Australia will lift rates for a fifth time this year.

Chalmers’ comments will come after the RBA wrote to a parliamentary committee, acknowledging that lower government spending would ultimately reduce inflation, helping hold off interest rate rises.

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