Trending
Prev Story
Next Story

‘The backdrop has worsened’: Morgan Stanley flags 15pc house price hit

The Australian Financial Review (AFR) •
October 21, 2026 • 01:52 AM
1
1 reads 0 reactions

The prospect of higher borrowing costs, which the investment bank says will determine the extent to which prices fall, took a step closer to reality on Wednesday.

‘The backdrop has worsened’: Morgan Stanley flags 15pc house price hit

Australian housing prices could fall up to 15 per cent by the end of next year, predict Morgan Stanley analysts, after the prospect of higher interest rates prompted them to downgrade their forecast in May of the “ largest correction in 40 years” for the residential market.

National home values had already fallen within the range of the investment bank’s economists’ forecast decline of 5 per cent to 10 per cent after the federal budget’s changes in May to taxation of property investments. That prediction had put them ahead of other forecasts at the time, said Morgan Stanley’s Australia economist Chris Read and his colleagues.

Gift articles to anyone you choose each month when you subscribe.

Prev Swipe Story Next

Same Story from Other Publications

Compare how 1 other independent news outlet reported on this story.

1 Publication
CNBC World
2w ago
Lockheed Martin will surge nearly 40% after new Pentagon deal, says Morgan Stanley

Lockheed Martin will surge nearly 40% after new Pentagon deal, says Morgan Stanley

Lockheed Martin has made a framework agreement with the U.S. Department of Defense for fighter jet production, which should help its stock, per Morgan Stanley.

#morgan-stanley #morgan #stanley
Compare →

Related Stories

Property & Real Estate
Build #2612