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The last increase: market clings to hope of interest rate peak

The Australian Financial Review (AFR) •
November 03, 2026 • 07:21 AM
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The Australian dollar fell and bonds rallied after the fifth rate rise this year. But a split vote has traders betting the central bank is done and dusted.

The last increase: market clings to hope of interest rate peak

The bond market has cheered the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to raise the cash rate for fifth time this year, betting that Tuesday’s increase will be the central bank’s last.

The 2.30pm announcement, which sent the cash rate to an 18-year high of 4.85 per cent , was met with a fall in the Australian dollar, and a rally in government bonds as yields declined after policymakers voted six to three in favour of a rate increase.

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