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Three-way contests could make a big difference in Victoria’s election

The Australian Financial Review (AFR) •
November 02, 2026 • 06:00 PM
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Three scenarios, each three points apart, produce a comfortable Coalition government, a one-seat Coalition government and a hung parliament.

Three-way contests could make a big difference in Victoria’s election

Victorians will vote in four weeks’ time, and the published polls in the lead-up to the state election are telling a settled story.

Our most recent poll for this masthead has the Coalition on 30 per cent, One Nation in the low 20s and Labor stuck in the mid-20s. Meanwhile, the Greens sit on 14 per cent.

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