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Could the hiking cycle be coming to an end?

The Australian Financial Review (AFR) •
October 30, 2026 • 05:29 AM
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Although Australian inflation remains among the highest in the world, some think interest rates are about to settle.

Could the hiking cycle be coming to an end?

Notwithstanding this week’s news confirming that Australia is in the grip of a protracted inflation cycle, bond markets are only pricing in one more interest rate increase.

This is surprising given that the central bank’s preferred inflation proxy, known as the trimmed mean CPI, climbed at a very rapid 4 per cent annual pace over the September quarter and by 3.7 per cent over the prior 12 months.

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