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Property downturn blows $5b hole in Victorian budget

The Australian Financial Review (AFR) •
October 29, 2026 • 10:59 PM
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Government spending has soared by $7 billion compared to the May budget, raising serious questions over Premier Ben Carroll’s pledge to rein in expenditure.

Property downturn blows $5b hole in Victorian budget

The property market downturn on the back of the federal government’s tax changes and rising interest rates has punched a $5.1 billion hole in the Victorian budget, while state government spending has blown out by $7 billion, heaping further pressure on its deteriorating finances.

The operating surplus, which does not take into account expenditure on capital projects, has been slashed to just $1.4 billion over the next four years – down from $6 billion it had forecast in the May budget, according to an economic and fiscal update released on Friday.

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